Bitcoin price model expects K ‘phase’ to hit in November

Renowned analyst CryptoCon said that Bitcoin (BTC) is expected to reach $45,000 in November as part of the classic BTC price cycle.

in a X thread On October 25, Bitcoin price model creators turned their attention to models based on Fibonacci retracement levels.

Analyst: Bitcoin ‘likely’ to hit $45,000 next month

Bitcoin hit a 17-month high this week and many market participants expect a correction, but CryptoCon believes there is still plenty of upside potential.

Comparing current Bitcoin price action to previous cycles, he showed that Bitcoin/USD still has room to expand to the highest of the five targets of the Fibonacci model to reach a mid-cycle top.

Four targets have been seen, with the fourth target roughly 3.3% above this week’s high of $36,368. In between are the so-called “phases” – November now marks the deadline for the next phase to be completed.

“It usually takes about 2 months after the end of the second stage to enter the mid-cycle top. Since our first month is about to end in the fourth stage, the mid-top may be completed as soon as November.” The comment pointed out.

“Translation: Might break 45k next month.”

Chart of the Fibonacci phases in the Bitcoin cycle. Source: CryptoCon/X

CryptoCon went on to note that Bitcoin bulls need to clear two key resistance levels to reach the $45,000 target.

“Both cost about $36,400,” he noted.

BTC/USD chart with Fibonacci resistance levels. Source: CryptoCon/X

BTC price cycle behavior is ‘completely different’

update own Cycle comparisonMeanwhile, trader and analyst Rekt Capital described a “completely different” landscape for Bitcoin in 2023.

Related: ‘Here’s the trigger’ – Arthur Hayes says it’s time to bet on Bitcoin

He believes that at this point in the four-year pattern, Bitcoin/USD should be testing support rather than resistance, comparing the current situation to what has happened since March 2020.

At the time, the pair hit cycle lows just above $3,000 as part of the cross-market collapse triggered by the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.

“Bitcoin is doing completely different things at the same point in the cycle than it was in 2019,” he wrote.

Bitcoin price cycle comparison. Source: Rekt Capital/X

In various recent X posts, Rekt Capital added that any significant pullback would represent a significant cyclical buying opportunity.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading activity involves risks, and readers should do their own research when making decisions.