Bitcoin price has never lost more than 10% in July — Is 2023 different?
Bitcoin price has never lost more than 10% in July — Is 2023 different?

Bitcoin (BTC) rallied 12% in June, but one prediction sees the good times for bulls fading soon.

in a tweet On July 1, well-known trader CryptoBullet admitted that there may not be more room for BTC prices to rise in July.

Trader: Bitcoin price rally ‘likely’ to end this month

Bitcoin ended June on solid footing despite a last-minute plunge due to macro news events.

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro, transaction view and coin glass Confirming that the monthly closing price on Bitstamp is $30,465.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView

Those levels continued into the weekend, with the past month marking Bitcoin’s best June performance since 2019.

By historical standards, July looks even better — historically, Bitcoin price action has never dropped more than 10% during the month.

BTC/USD monthly returns (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

However, for CryptoBullet, “common sense” suggests that BTC/USD should break below some key moving averages.

“So, June surprised me. We had a pretty bullish monthly close: BTC tested MA50, bounced back strongly and managed to revisit EMA21!” he commented on the monthly chart.

“I can repeat what I said: BTC can go to 35k (to find liquidity), but the mid-term bullish rally is coming to an end. Probably this month.”

BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: CryptoBullet/Twitter

Still, the concept of finding liquidity in the low-$30,000 region remains popular as a theory for price continuation.

Decentrader, the trading suite that tracks it, this week highlighted leveraged short positions approaching $35,000.

Battle of the Bitcoin Monthly Charts

Elsewhere, the generally bullish Rekt Capital was also keen on what he called a “healthy technical retest” for bitcoin, which traded below the $30,000 level despite a monthly close.

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“BTC has a bullish monthly close, but is poised for a healthy technical retest around $29,250,” he said Tell Twitter followers of the day.

“Currently around $30,500… I wonder what negative catalysts could come up soon to facilitate this technical retest.”

Further analysis debate Even if the price of Bitcoin fell below this downside target, it would not constitute an “abnormality.”

Rekt Capital added: “Overall, the company is well positioned.”

BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Rekt Capital/Twitter

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This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and transaction involves risk, and readers should do their own research when making a decision.